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High tropical cyclone risk near northern Australia this week

A tropical low currently developing over the Timor Sea has a high chance of becoming a tropical cyclone later this week, with a possibility of landfall somewhere in the Northern Territory or Western Australia. Key industries could be impacted including Ports, Mining, Transport, and Agriculture. The satellite images below show cloud circulating around the developing […]

Madden-Julian Oscillation increasing tropical cyclone potential for northern Australia industries

Sea surface temperatures exceeding 31°C off the coast of northern Australia and an active phase of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) are increasing the likelihood of early-season tropical cyclone activity, with hints of the season’s first tropical cyclone coming as early as next week. Tropical cyclones require sea surface temperature of 26.5°C or warmer to develop, […]

Tropical cyclone season begins with warm oceans surrounding northern Australia

The 2025-26 tropical cyclone season has begun with abnormally warm oceans surrounding northern Australia, signalling an increased risk for severe tropical cyclones in the coming months. The Australian tropical cyclone season runs from November 1 to April 30. During this six-month period, there are usually about 9 to 10 tropical cyclones in the Australian region, […]

7.8 million lightning pulses detected by DTN’s Total Lightning Network over Australia in one week

A barrage of thunderstorms battered large areas of eastern and northern Australia over the past week, producing close to 8 million lightning pulses across the country and more than 4 million over Queensland alone. DTN’s Total Lightning Network (TLN) detected around 7.79 million lightning pulses above Australia last week. This lightning was observed over every […]

Australia’s 2025-26 tropical cyclone outlook

The Australian region is primed for severe tropical cyclones this season, despite an ongoing trend of reduced tropical cyclone activity over Australian waters in recent decades. Australia’s tropical cyclone season officially runs from the start of November to the end of April. During this six-month period, the Australian region usually sees around 9 to 10 […]

South Pacific 2025-26 Tropical Cyclone Season Outlook

The Fiji Meteorological Service and New Zealand’s National Institute of Water and Atmosphere Research (NIWA) both released their 2025-26 tropical cyclone outlooks last week, with elevated risks focused on New Caledonia, Vanuatu and New Zealand’s North Island. The Fiji Meteorological Service is responsible for tropical cyclone services across the local Regional Specialized Meteorological Centre (RSMC) […]

US Climate Prediction Center declares La Niña – what this means for Australian industries?

A La Niña advisory has been issued by the US Climate Prediction Center (CPC), indicating that La Niña conditions have emerged in the tropical Pacific Ocean and are expected to continue for the coming months. What is La Niña? La Niña is one of three phases of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), a coupled ocean-atmosphere […]

Severe thunderstorms and giant hail smash southeast Queensland – impacting businesses and insurance

Severe thunderstorms brought large hail and heavy rain to southeast Queensland’s Wide Bay and Burnett on Thursday, October 2, 2025 – impacting businesses and insurance claims. Clear skies at midday It’s 12pm on an early October Thursday and it’s warm and sunny with barely a cloud in the sky and a light seabreeze coming from […]

Australia’s 2025-26 tropical cyclone names released

Australia’s 2025-26 tropical cyclone season is almost here and the names that will be used for cyclones throughout the season have been locked in. The Australian tropical cyclone season runs from the beginning of November to the end of April. During this six-month period, we usually see around 9-11 tropical cyclones in the Australian region, […]

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Australia’s 2026-27 Tropical Cyclone Season: Late Start, Real Risk

Australia’s tropical cyclone season is officially underway, but we may not see much activity for few months yet.  The season runs from November to April, and for mining operators and businesses across northern Australia, 2026-27 is shaping up to be a season where the headline numbers and the real risk may not line up.  On […]

Positive IOD declared: Not a typical dry signal for Australia

A positive Indian Ocean Dipole is underway, but this one is unlikely to deliver the textbook dry spring and summer that businesses have come to expect from the pattern.  The Bureau of Meteorology officially declared a positive IOD on Tuesday, October 27, which typically like El Niño can cause drier and warmer conditions over parts of […]

Signs of a positive Indian Ocean Dipole, but it may not follow the textbook

Waters off Indonesia have cooled in recent weeks, an indication that a positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) event could be developing. It’s an important climate driver for Australia, and it could shape rainfall and temperatures heading into summer, with flow-on effects for farmers, energy and other industries.  What is the Indian Ocean Dipole?  The IOD […]

1.3 million lightning strikes and a record September downpour: the storms testing WA’s Goldfields

Leonora, WA, had its wettest September day on record earlier this month. Three weeks later, more than 1.3 million lightning pulses were detected within 800 km of the town in 48 hours. Why is a stalled trough delivering storms to mining country, and what it could mean for operations?  The DTN Total Lightning Network detected […]