El Niño–favourable conditions are gathering pace across the tropical Pacific, with key ocean indicators approaching threshold levels and early atmospheric responses emerging.  While uncertainty remains around final El Niño strength, historical analogues show that even weak events can generate widespread impacts, including reduced rainfall, warmer daytime temperatures, increased frost risk, elevated fire danger, reduced tropical cyclone activity, and more. Industries including […]

There are signs that a very strong, or ‘super’ El Niño could develop in the tropical Pacific Ocean later this year. So, what does this mean for Australia’s weather during the second half of 2026? El Niño on the horizon The tropical Pacific Ocean is currently in a neutral state, meaning neither El Niño nor […]

Intense heat from bushfires during elevated fire danger days can trigger fire-induced pyrocumulonimbus thunderstorms that ignite additional fires. In early January 2026, an extreme heatwave sweeping over southeastern Australia brought catastrophic fire danger to Victoria. Intensely hot bush and grass fires spread erratically and quickly in hot, dry and gusty winds, with pyrocumulonimbus generating lightning, […]

Seas to the north and east of Australia are experiencing periods of increased activity this week, leading to disruptions to port, maritime and offshore operations. Intense and hazardous Tasman Sea Ocean conditions across NSW’s South Coast rapidly deteriorated last Friday as a deep feed of easterly winds whipped up large and dangerous seas. The Batemans […]

Transport, emergency, energy and port industries in eastern NSW and Sydney were impacted by significant flash flooding with intense and heavy rainfall this weekend. Rainfall rates between 80 and 140mm in one to three hours were registered across parts of Sydney’s Northern Beaches and Central Coast on Saturday afternoon and evening. In some areas, these […]

Severe thunderstorms impacted southwest WA and the Perth region on Sunday, December 14, 2025, triggering Dangerous Thunderstorm Alerts (DTA) by DTN for industries and businesses in the region. DTN operates Dangerous Thunderstorm Alerts (DTA) which alert businesses and industries to thunderstorms based on intensity and movement. These alerts provide advanced notice of thunderstorms moving into […]

Hot, dry and windy weather causing elevated fire danger and severe heatwave conditions are sweeping across southeastern Australia over the next three days, driving high energy demand and disruption to operations. Clear skies associated a large and slow-moving high pressure system have allowed hot air to build up over parts of northern, western and central […]

The Australian and New Zealand Council for fire and emergency services (AFAC) identified western and southern WA, Victoria and inland NSW as key regions that are at risk of heightened bushfire risk this summer. Parts of Australia have experienced severe soil moisture and rainfall deficiencies over the past months and years, while high fuel loads […]

The Bureau of Meteorology has declared that La Niña is underway in the Pacific Ocean. So, what does this mean for Australia’s weather this summer? What is La Niña? La Niña is one phase of a Pacific Ocean phenomenon called the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The other phases of ENSO are El Niño and neutral. […]