Prosper in a dynamic world
Search

The ‘bombing low’ behind Sydney’s weekend deluge

 

Sydney endured its second wettest June day on record on the weekend as a bombing low pressure system rapidly intensified off the NSW coast.

The radar animation below shows heavy and persistent rain hammering central eastern NSW on the weekend.

Sydney was inundated by heavy rain on Saturday into Sunday morning, with the Observatory Hill weather station collecting 142.6 mm of during the 24 hours ending at 9am on Sunday. This was more than the city’s entire June average (about 132 mm) and Sydney’s second wettest June day in records dating back to 1859, beaten only by 150.6 mm in 1991.

The weekend’s torrential rain, which caused flash flooding in parts of Sydney, was driven by a rapidly deepening low pressure system over the Tasman Sea.

The low formed on Saturday and intensified so quickly that its central pressure dropped by 19 hPa during the 24 hours ending at 4pm on Sunday. At Sydney’s latitude, this rate of pressure change was enough to classify the system as a ‘bombing low’, which is the name given to mid-latitude low pressure system that deepens rapidly in a process called explosive bombogenesis.

Images: Mean sea level pressure (MSLP) analysis charts from 4pm AEST Saturday, June 1 (top) and 4pm AEST Sunday, June 2 (bottom), showing a deepening low pressure system over the Tasman Sea. Source: Bureau of Meteorology

The threshold for a bombing low pressure system differs depending on latitude. For example, at 60° latitude in either hemisphere, a pressure drop of 24 hPa in 24 hours is required a system to be classifies as a bombing low. But at Sydney’s latitude around -34° south, a system’s central pressure only needs to drop by around 16 hPa in 24 hours for it to be a bombing low. This made the weekend’s 19 hPa pressure drop more than enough to call the Tasman Sea system a bombing low.

Other impacts from the weekend’s bombing low in the Tasman Sea included:

  • Maximum wave heights reaching 9.6 metres off Sydney at midday on Sunday
  • Mallacoota’s 112 mm of rain during the 24 hours ending at 9am on Monday was its wettest winter day on record, with data dating back to the 1970s

This was the second bombing low pressure system near Australia in one week, after another low deepened by 30 hPa in 24 hours over the Great Australian Bight last Wednesday and Thursday.

Abnormally warm sea surface temperatures near Australia southern and eastern coastlines may have helped these two low pressure systems undergo bombogenesis.

Latest news

Satisfy your weather obsession with these news headlines from around the nation, and the world.

Giant hail and intense thunderstorms leaves 161,000 customers without power across southeast Queensland

Over 75,000 customers across southeast Queensland remain without power on Tuesday, after a peak of around 161,000 following the relatively brief, but intense severe thunderstorms complex that crossed the region on Monday afternoon. Damage to power utility networks and rescue efforts for residents was worse than those inflicted by Cyclone Alfred in March for some […]

How a tropical cyclone near Darwin causes energy demand to soar in NSW and Queensland

The downstream influence of Severe Tropical Cyclone Fina caused intense inland heat to build and be drawn into eastern Australia, causing energy demand to soar in NSW and Queensland. Severe Tropical Cyclone Fina crossed the northeast Kimberley coast in WA late on Monday, November 24, 2025, but downstream influences from the system will be felt […]

Tropical Cyclone Fina to pass near Darwin this weekend – possible disruptions to key industries

Tropical Cyclone Fina has turned towards the Northern Territory coast and is expected to make landfall over the Top End on Friday, November 21, 2025. The system could then regain strength over the warm Van Diemen Gulf, before passing close to Darwin on the weekend. The last tropical cyclone to directly impact Darwin was Tropical […]

High tropical cyclone risk near northern Australia this week

A tropical low currently developing over the Timor Sea has a high chance of becoming a tropical cyclone later this week, with a possibility of landfall somewhere in the Northern Territory or Western Australia. Key industries could be impacted including Ports, Mining, Transport, and Agriculture. The satellite images below show cloud circulating around the developing […]