Prosper in a dynamic world
Search

The ‘bombing low’ behind Sydney’s weekend deluge

 

Sydney endured its second wettest June day on record on the weekend as a bombing low pressure system rapidly intensified off the NSW coast.

The radar animation below shows heavy and persistent rain hammering central eastern NSW on the weekend.

Sydney was inundated by heavy rain on Saturday into Sunday morning, with the Observatory Hill weather station collecting 142.6 mm of during the 24 hours ending at 9am on Sunday. This was more than the city’s entire June average (about 132 mm) and Sydney’s second wettest June day in records dating back to 1859, beaten only by 150.6 mm in 1991.

The weekend’s torrential rain, which caused flash flooding in parts of Sydney, was driven by a rapidly deepening low pressure system over the Tasman Sea.

The low formed on Saturday and intensified so quickly that its central pressure dropped by 19 hPa during the 24 hours ending at 4pm on Sunday. At Sydney’s latitude, this rate of pressure change was enough to classify the system as a ‘bombing low’, which is the name given to mid-latitude low pressure system that deepens rapidly in a process called explosive bombogenesis.

Images: Mean sea level pressure (MSLP) analysis charts from 4pm AEST Saturday, June 1 (top) and 4pm AEST Sunday, June 2 (bottom), showing a deepening low pressure system over the Tasman Sea. Source: Bureau of Meteorology

The threshold for a bombing low pressure system differs depending on latitude. For example, at 60° latitude in either hemisphere, a pressure drop of 24 hPa in 24 hours is required a system to be classifies as a bombing low. But at Sydney’s latitude around -34° south, a system’s central pressure only needs to drop by around 16 hPa in 24 hours for it to be a bombing low. This made the weekend’s 19 hPa pressure drop more than enough to call the Tasman Sea system a bombing low.

Other impacts from the weekend’s bombing low in the Tasman Sea included:

  • Maximum wave heights reaching 9.6 metres off Sydney at midday on Sunday
  • Mallacoota’s 112 mm of rain during the 24 hours ending at 9am on Monday was its wettest winter day on record, with data dating back to the 1970s

This was the second bombing low pressure system near Australia in one week, after another low deepened by 30 hPa in 24 hours over the Great Australian Bight last Wednesday and Thursday.

Abnormally warm sea surface temperatures near Australia southern and eastern coastlines may have helped these two low pressure systems undergo bombogenesis.

Latest news

Satisfy your weather obsession with these news headlines from around the nation, and the world.

Rapid El Niño signal accelerating risk for Australian businesses

El Niño–favourable conditions are gathering pace across the tropical Pacific, with key ocean indicators approaching threshold levels and early atmospheric responses emerging.  While uncertainty remains around final El Niño strength, historical analogues show that even weak events can generate widespread impacts, including reduced rainfall, warmer daytime temperatures, increased frost risk, elevated fire danger, reduced tropical cyclone activity, and more. Industries including […]

Australia’s 2025–26 Cyclone Season: Slightly Above Average, Dominated by Severe Systems

Australia has just experienced a highly impactful tropical cyclone season, with more than 60% of systems reaching severe intensity, causing widespread disruption and damage to communities and multiple industries across northern Australia.  The 2025–26 Australian tropical cyclone season officially ran from 1 November 2025 to 30 April 2026. During this six-month period, Australia saw 11 tropical cyclones, with nine […]

What does a ‘super El Niño’ mean for Australia’s businesses?

There are signs that a very strong, or ‘super’ El Niño could develop in the tropical Pacific Ocean later this year. So, what does this mean for Australia’s weather during the second half of 2026? El Niño on the horizon The tropical Pacific Ocean is currently in a neutral state, meaning neither El Niño nor […]

How does DTN help businesses monitor bushfire induced pyrocumulonimbus thunderstorms that ignite more fires?

Intense heat from bushfires during elevated fire danger days can trigger fire-induced pyrocumulonimbus thunderstorms that ignite additional fires. In early January 2026, an extreme heatwave sweeping over southeastern Australia brought catastrophic fire danger to Victoria. Intensely hot bush and grass fires spread erratically and quickly in hot, dry and gusty winds, with pyrocumulonimbus generating lightning, […]