The Pacific and Indian Ocean climate drivers remain in a neutral phase, with weather around Australia continuing to be dominated by more local effects. Pacific Ocean climate driver The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has returned to a truer neutral phase, after trending towards a La Niña-like phase during summer. Sea Surface Temperatures (SST) across […]
An outbreak of heavy rain and severe thunderstorms will impact Victoria and NSW over the coming long weekend. As seen in the synoptic image below, this outbreak of storms and wet weather will be caused by a broad low pressure trough and cold front. Image: Synoptic image for Friday, 25 April. As the weekend goes […]
Tropical Cyclone Errol, which formed on Tuesday night, is quickly gaining strength to the north of WA and could turn towards the Kimberley coast later this week. At 8am AWST on Wednesday, Errol was a category two tropical cyclone located roughly 515 km to the north northwest of Broome. The system is moving west and […]
A tropical cyclone is likely to form off the north coast of WA in a matter of days, with signs that it could become a severe tropical cyclone next week. A tropical low is currently developing over the Timor Sea to the north of Darwin. The circulation centre of this developing low can be clearly […]
Multiple flooding events have occurred in Queensland since the start of 2025, but why? Last month was Australia’s hottest and 4th-wettest March on record. Queensland was especially wet, registering its 3rd wettest March on record. This moisture combined with the very warm temperatures around the country to bring the warmest March minimum temperatures on record […]
Deadly wildfires have burnt across South Korea’s southeast since last weekend, claiming the lives of at least 28 people and displacing nearly 40,000. At least 28 people have lost their lives to the fire and more than 35,000 hectares of forest have burnt, displacing nearly 40,000 people from their homes. Officials on the ground are […]
A deep feed of moisture streaming from a monsoonal burst has brought widespread flooding to much of Queensland this week. Moisture started streaming over the north of Queensland last week. With a 301mm rain day last week, Townsville has now set monthly station records with: 1198mm in February (nearly four times the monthly average of […]
Tropical Cyclone Courtney, currently a Category 1 system, developed in the early morning of Wednesday, March 26, marking the eighth tropical cyclone of the Australian season. Tropical Cyclone Courtney was slow to develop from a tropical low located south of Bali over the weekend, gradually tracking west-southwest over the past few days. Early on Wednesday, […]
East Asia experienced significant drops in temperatures this weekend, which could lead to flooding rainfall over Indonesia and tropical cyclones in the Australian region. But how? After reaching maximum temperatures of about 25°C during the day, Hong Kong experienced a cool change on Saturday evening as a cool and dry northerly wind reached the territory. […]
Australia’s tropical cyclone season is officially underway, but we may not see much activity for few months yet. The season runs from November to April, and for mining operators and businesses across northern Australia, 2026-27 is shaping up to be a season where the headline numbers and the real risk may not line up. On […]
A positive Indian Ocean Dipole is underway, but this one is unlikely to deliver the textbook dry spring and summer that businesses have come to expect from the pattern. The Bureau of Meteorology officially declared a positive IOD on Tuesday, October 27, which typically like El Niño can cause drier and warmer conditions over parts of […]
Waters off Indonesia have cooled in recent weeks, an indication that a positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) event could be developing. It’s an important climate driver for Australia, and it could shape rainfall and temperatures heading into summer, with flow-on effects for farmers, energy and other industries. What is the Indian Ocean Dipole? The IOD […]
Leonora, WA, had its wettest September day on record earlier this month. Three weeks later, more than 1.3 million lightning pulses were detected within 800 km of the town in 48 hours. Why is a stalled trough delivering storms to mining country, and what it could mean for operations? The DTN Total Lightning Network detected […]