Abnormally high fire risk is anticipated across parts of South Australia and Victoria this winter as the ongoing drought causes a seemingly endless 2025 fire season in southern Australia, with reduced risk across northern Australia with recent wet months. Increased Risk of Fire for southern Australia Australia’s official seasonal bushfire outlook for winter 2025 was […]
Warm sea surface temperatures near Indonesia are expected to heat up further over winter, possibly triggering a negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) event. What is the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD)? The IOD is an index that measures the difference in sea surface temperatures across the equatorial Indian Ocean. A negative IOD occurs when cooler-than-average water […]
Unseasonably heavy rain has drenched parts of northern WA and the NT, with Queensland next in line for soaking rain in the next few days. A deep stream of tropical moisture originating over the Indian Ocean is fuelling a massive northwest cloud band across Australia this week. This thick cloud band has been producing exceptionally […]
The first major cold front of the year is bringing damaging and destructive winds to parts of southeastern Australia as a powerful low moves in from over the Bight. The satellite loop below shows a deep low pressure system over the Great Australian Bight, and the associated cold front sweeping into South Australia on Monday […]
An unprecedented May deluge has impacted businesses across eastern NSW this week, with some rain gauges eclipsing their previous monthly records in the space of just three days. So why is eastern NSW seeing so much rain this week? In an average May, the NSW Mid North Coast and Hunter regions would see about 50 […]
Flood records are being broken in parts of eastern NSW this week as relentless rainfall continues to dump water into already overflowing rivers and creeks, affecting businesses and industries through road and transport closures and disruptions due to flooding. A steady stream of moisture-laden onshore winds has been causing persistent rain over eastern NSW since […]
Rain will continue to inundate already flooded eastern NSW for another two to three days as a stubborn low pressure trough lingers near the coast, impacting transport networks and businesses. A deep layer of moisture-laden winds feeding a slow-moving low pressure trough have been causing persistent and heavy rain over parts of eastern NSW in […]
Intense rain, large waves and powerful winds are lashing eastern NSW as a deep low pressure trough lingers near the coast, with a dynamic week ahead. The satellite imagery below shows the stream of moisture moving over eastern NSW on Monday – with wild and woolly conditions whipped up out at sea. Image: water vapour […]
Northern Australia’s 2024-25 wet season featured the busiest cyclone season in 19 years, latest monsoon onset on record and intense thunderstorm outbreaks. The northern Australia (north of 26°S) average wet season rainfall in 2024-25 was 21% above the 1961-1990 average. As seen in the rainfall deciles map below, this above average rainfall was driven by […]
Australia’s tropical cyclone season is officially underway, but we may not see much activity for few months yet. The season runs from November to April, and for mining operators and businesses across northern Australia, 2026-27 is shaping up to be a season where the headline numbers and the real risk may not line up. On […]
A positive Indian Ocean Dipole is underway, but this one is unlikely to deliver the textbook dry spring and summer that businesses have come to expect from the pattern. The Bureau of Meteorology officially declared a positive IOD on Tuesday, October 27, which typically like El Niño can cause drier and warmer conditions over parts of […]
Waters off Indonesia have cooled in recent weeks, an indication that a positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) event could be developing. It’s an important climate driver for Australia, and it could shape rainfall and temperatures heading into summer, with flow-on effects for farmers, energy and other industries. What is the Indian Ocean Dipole? The IOD […]
Leonora, WA, had its wettest September day on record earlier this month. Three weeks later, more than 1.3 million lightning pulses were detected within 800 km of the town in 48 hours. Why is a stalled trough delivering storms to mining country, and what it could mean for operations? The DTN Total Lightning Network detected […]
