Prosper in a dynamic world
Search

Very wet week for the northern QLD tropical coast

 

Six days of heavy rain and thunderstorms are on the cards for parts of the northern and western QLD as a burst of late wet-season rain targets northeastern Australia.  

A low pressure trough and embedded tropical low are currently located over the northwestern Coral Sea. These systems will slowly drift further west in the coming days, causing a prolonged period of heavy rain and thunderstorms over Queensland’s eastern tropical coast and adjacent hinterland. 

The moisture feeding this coastal rain event will also spread further west and interact with a low pressure trough deepening across Australia’s eastern inland. This inland system is expected to produce widespread rain and thunderstorms across parts of western, central and southern QLD from this weekend into next week. 

The combined influence of these rain-bearing troughs will likely see a broad area of northern and western QLD picking up some decent rain over the coming week.  

The heaviest falls will occur along parts of the eastern tropical coast and nearby hinterland, where accumulated rainfall totals should reach 150-400mm during the next seven days, with isolated areas possibly reaching around 700mm. The heaviest rain will most likely fall between about Cooktown and Townsville.

The bulk of this rain will fall between Thursday and Sunday, although some models suggest that heavy rain could linger on Monday and Tuesday as well. 

MicrosoftTeams-image (361)

Image: Forecast accumulated rain during the next four days (Thursday to Sunday), according to the ECMWF model. 

Accumulated rainfall totals of 50 to 150 mm are also possible across parts of western and central QLD between this weekend and the middle of next week.  

The map below shows the forecast accumulated rain during the week ending on Wednesday, April 27. While much of the Bowen Basin will most likely miss the heaviest rain from this system, parts of the basin could still see 100 to 150 mm during the next week. 

MicrosoftTeams-image (360)

Image: Forecast accumulated rain during the seven days ending on April 27, according to the ECMWF model. 

Weatherzone will be watching closely as this system evolves over the coming days, for more information, please contact us at apac.sales@dtn.com.  

Latest news

Satisfy your weather obsession with these news headlines from around the nation, and the world.

High tropical cyclone risk near northern Australia this week

A tropical low currently developing over the Timor Sea has a high chance of becoming a tropical cyclone later this week, with a possibility of landfall somewhere in the Northern Territory or Western Australia. Key industries could be impacted including Ports, Mining, Transport, and Agriculture. The satellite images below show cloud circulating around the developing […]

Madden-Julian Oscillation increasing tropical cyclone potential for northern Australia industries

Sea surface temperatures exceeding 31°C off the coast of northern Australia and an active phase of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) are increasing the likelihood of early-season tropical cyclone activity, with hints of the season’s first tropical cyclone coming as early as next week. Tropical cyclones require sea surface temperature of 26.5°C or warmer to develop, […]

Tropical cyclone season begins with warm oceans surrounding northern Australia

The 2025-26 tropical cyclone season has begun with abnormally warm oceans surrounding northern Australia, signalling an increased risk for severe tropical cyclones in the coming months. The Australian tropical cyclone season runs from November 1 to April 30. During this six-month period, there are usually about 9 to 10 tropical cyclones in the Australian region, […]

7.8 million lightning pulses detected by DTN’s Total Lightning Network over Australia in one week

A barrage of thunderstorms battered large areas of eastern and northern Australia over the past week, producing close to 8 million lightning pulses across the country and more than 4 million over Queensland alone. DTN’s Total Lightning Network (TLN) detected around 7.79 million lightning pulses above Australia last week. This lightning was observed over every […]