Prosper in a dynamic world
Search

Heatwaves and heavy rain in Australia this week

A late-summer heatwave will touch part of every state and territory in Australia this week as heavy tropical rain causes flooding in parts of Qld and the NT.

A relatively stagnant weather pattern will cause two distinct types of weather in Australia this week. In the north there will be lots of cloud and rain near an active monsoon trough. Further south, there will be plenty of sunshine allowing hot air to build over the continent.

The map below shows how much rain one computer model is predicting over northeastern Australia this week. This deluge will be caused by a tropical low meandering over the Gulf of Carpentaria before moving over land with the monsoon trough later in the week.

Image: Forecast accumulated rainfall during the week ending on Sunday, February 19, 2023, according to the ECMWF-HRES model.

While northern Australia is accustomed to wet weather at this time of year, this week’s soaking could deliver enough rain to cause areas of flooding that may affect roads and communities in Qld and the NT.

But while Australia’s northeastern tropics will be covered in cloud for most of this week, clearer skies in most other parts of the country will bring a surge of summer heat.

The maps below show the predicted maximum temperatures across Australia during the first four days of this week. This intense heat will persist through the back end of the week as well, causing heatwave conditions in parts of every state and territory over the next seven days, including several capital cities.

Images: Forecast daily maximum temperature between Monday and Thursday this week, according to the ECMWF-HRES model.

With a mix of dangerous weather on the cards across Australia this week, be sure to stay up to date with the latest forecasts and warnings in your area. To find out more about our weather services, please visit our business website or email us at apac.sales@dtn.com.

Latest news

Satisfy your weather obsession with these news headlines from around the nation, and the world.

Signs of a positive Indian Ocean Dipole, but it may not follow the textbook

Waters off Indonesia have cooled in recent weeks, an indication that a positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) event could be developing. It’s an important climate driver for Australia, and it could shape rainfall and temperatures heading into summer, with flow-on effects for farmers, energy and other industries.  What is the Indian Ocean Dipole?  The IOD […]

1.3 million lightning strikes and a record September downpour: the storms testing WA’s Goldfields

Leonora, WA, had its wettest September day on record earlier this month. Three weeks later, more than 1.3 million lightning pulses were detected within 800 km of the town in 48 hours. Why is a stalled trough delivering storms to mining country, and what it could mean for operations?  The DTN Total Lightning Network detected […]

A very low wind power week, likely to continue

A stubborn blocking high over southern Australia will make for a very quiet week for wind generation and the pattern behind it isn’t a one-off.   It’s the seasonal signature of a super (very strong) El Niño combined with a positive Southern Annular Mode (SAM), and both the historical record and the current seasonal forecast suggest it’s likely to keep recurring through spring before a potential switch from November.  The setup right […]

Fastest strengthening El Niño on record: Impacts on Australian monsoon timing and wet season planning

Australia’s Mining and Resources sectors are bracing for a wet season shaped by one of the most rapidly developing El Niño events on record.    Looking back at how the strongest El Niño events in Australian history have played out, it becomes apparent that mining operations in Australia should be planning for a later monsoon […]