Prosper in a dynamic world
Search

2023 set to be Earth’s warmest year on record

 

Global climate records have been shattered in 2023, with temperatures in the atmosphere and ocean at the warmest levels ever observed, according to a new report. 

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) released a provisional State of the Global Climate report on November 30 to coincide with the start of the COP28 United Nations Climate Change conference in Dubai.   

While the WMO’s final State of the Global Climate 2023 report will come out in 2024, this week’s report provides an interim update on the state of the global climate to inform discussions at COP28. Below are some of the key points from the report: 

Greenhouse gases  

The global average temperature has been gradually increasing in recent decades, primarily in response to increasing concentrations of atmospheric greenhouse gases from human activities. 

These global greenhouse gases continue to increase, with the concentrations of carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide observed reaching record high levels in 2022. These greenhouse gas concentrations have continued to rise this year, contributing to the record-breaking warmth across the globe. 

Atmospheric temperature 

This year is on track to be the world’s warmest year on record, with new data from the WMO showing that the mean near-surface temperature so far in 2023 (January to October) was 1.4°C warmer than the pre-industrial average (between 1850-1900). The size of this anomaly up to October means 2023 is virtually certain to be the planet’s warmest year in 174 years of records. 

The map below shows that the ten years leading up to 2023 (as of October) have been the warmest 10-year period on record.  

Image: World Daily surface air temperature since 1979 showing 2023 (black) and 2022 (orange) and previous years (grey), Source: climatereanalyzer.org ,Climate change institute, University of Maine  

This year’s global mean temperature should comfortably beat the joint warmest years on record, which were 2016 and 2020.  

Ocean Temperature 

The ocean heat in 2022 reached its highest level since records began 65 years ago. The black line below shows the 2023 Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs) have been tracking above the previous record for most of the year. 

2023 set to be Earth’s warmest year on record

Image: World Daily Sea Surface temperature since 1981, showing 2023 (black) and 2022 (orange) and previous years (grey), Source: climatereanalyzer.org ,Climate change institute, University of Maine 

 The ocean covers around 70% of the Earth’s surface and absorbs heat and greenhouse gases. While the absorption of heat in the ocean can slow the warming of the atmosphere, the warming oceans have increased the sea level and ice melt significantly. 

 

Sea Ice 

Antartica has seen record low sea ice extent since satellites began observing the ice in 1979. 

The images below shows that on Wednesday, November 29, the Antarctic and Artic Sea Ice extent is much lower than the median ice edge from the 1981 to 2010 period. 

  

 2023 set to be Earth’s warmest year on record

 Images: Antarctic (top) and Artic (bottom) daily sea ice extent, showing ice (white shade) and the 1981 to 2010 average extent (orange) Source: National Snow and Ice Data Centre 

It was also reported that the glaciers in western North America, the European Alps and Switzerland have all experienced extreme melt. 

Sea level rise 

The melting of glaciers and ice sheets has meant that the global mean sea level in 2023 reached a record high for the satellite era, which because in 1979. The rate of sea level rise has doubled in the past decade compared to the decade between 1993 and 2003. 

Extreme weather 

The WMO’s report also mentioned the extreme weather that has impacted many areas of the world in 2023: 

  • Extreme heat has affected many parts of the world, including record-breaking heatwaves in Europe in July and August 
  • Wildfires in Hawaii, Canada and Europe  
  • Flooding in Greece, Bulgaria, Türkiye, and Libya  

The WMO’s full report will come out in the first half of next year.  

Are you protecting your enterprise from the increasingly volatile weather risk? 

You can’t control the shifting climate, but you can gain precision insights to optimise your response.

DTN APAC, a DTN company, has been providing weather intelligence and innovative forecasting systems to Australian businesses since 1998.

We have intuitive solutions that serve industries from aviation, mining and energy right through to marine, and everything in between. Rest assured, if we don’t already have a product to address your business’ weather needs, we will work tirelessly to create one.

With our network of global partners, we provide trusted, industry-leading services that can mitigate weather risk, keep your valuable staff and assets safe, and ensure you are operating at peak efficiency. For more information, please contact us at apac.sales@dtn.com.

Latest news

Satisfy your weather obsession with these news headlines from around the nation, and the world.

Habagat and successive typhoons trigger widespread flooding in the Philippines

Three consecutive weeks of enhanced southwest monsoon (Habagat) and back-to-back typhoons have flooded Luzon and the Visayas, grounding flights, triggering distribution power outages, cutting off transport corridors, and raising landslide risk across mining-dense provinces like Benguet and the Cordillera. The disruption is far from over with PAGASA expecting the monsoon to remain in place until […]

Australia’s Spring 2026 Bushfire Outlook: Increased Risk Across Seven States and Territories

Fire agencies, land managers and businesses are being urged to prepare as the AFAC spring seasonal bushfire outlook, released on August 19, 2026, warns of elevated bushfire risk across Australia this season. The outlook identifies above-average fire danger across seven states and territories, with conditions driven by a combination of elevated fuel loads, an El Niño […]

Businesses under pressure: how this powerful high will affect Australian industries

A very strong high pressure system centred over Tasmania will impact southern and eastern Australia’s weather over the coming days. How strong is this high pressure system? Mean Sea Level Pressure (MSLP) has already reached 1039.3 hPa at Ouse, Tasmania on Sunday morning, and is forecast to peak at 1041 or 1042 hPa on Monday […]

Northwest Cloudband looms despite sunny and dry outlook

A thick cloudband will stretch thousands of kilometres next week from the warm tropical waters off northwest Australia to southeastern Australia, bringing rain and low solar output despite a sunny, dry seasonal outlook.   The cloudy week may come as a surprise given the warm, dry, and sunny climate drivers currently in play – a very strong El Niño and a […]