Prosper in a dynamic world
Search

Rain on the way for northern and eastern Australia

 

Unseasonably heavy rain will spread over parts of the NT and QLD later this week, with wet weather also set to return to Australia’s east coast.

Northern Australia is in the middle of its dry season, a largely rainless six-month period that runs from May to October. The map below shows that most of northwest QLD and the northern half of the NT usually receive less than 5mm of rain during all of July.

Image: Long-term average rainfall for July. Source: Bureau of Meteorology

This week, however, a stream of tropical moisture is going produce rain over a broad area of the NT and QLD, possibly delivering several months’ worth of dry-season rainfall in some areas.

A few showers will develop over the NT and far west QLD on Tuesday and Wednesday as a cloudband starts to build across northern Australia. Rain will become heavier and more widespread between Thursday and Saturday as the cloudband slowly drifts further east.

The injection of tropical moisture provided by this large cloudband will also help produce rain over a broad area of eastern Australia from Friday into the weekend, possibly persisting into the start of next week as well. There are early signs that some of this rain could become heavy enough to causef flooding as a coastal trough deepens early next week.

The two maps below show how much rain two different forecast models are predicting this week, from Monday to Sunday.

Image: Forecast accumulated rain during the 7 days ending on Sunday, July 3.

This rain event could cause flooding in parts of the NT, QLD and eastern NSW, including areas that are normally dry at this time of year. Be sure to check the latest forecasts and warnings in your area. For more information on Weatherzone’s rainfall and heavy rainfall forecasting, please contact us at apac.sales@dtn.com.

Latest news

Satisfy your weather obsession with these news headlines from around the nation, and the world.

Australia’s 2026-27 Tropical Cyclone Season: Late Start, Real Risk

Australia’s tropical cyclone season is officially underway, but we may not see much activity for few months yet.  The season runs from November to April, and for mining operators and businesses across northern Australia, 2026-27 is shaping up to be a season where the headline numbers and the real risk may not line up.  On […]

Positive IOD declared: Not a typical dry signal for Australia

A positive Indian Ocean Dipole is underway, but this one is unlikely to deliver the textbook dry spring and summer that businesses have come to expect from the pattern.  The Bureau of Meteorology officially declared a positive IOD on Tuesday, October 27, which typically like El Niño can cause drier and warmer conditions over parts of […]

Signs of a positive Indian Ocean Dipole, but it may not follow the textbook

Waters off Indonesia have cooled in recent weeks, an indication that a positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) event could be developing. It’s an important climate driver for Australia, and it could shape rainfall and temperatures heading into summer, with flow-on effects for farmers, energy and other industries.  What is the Indian Ocean Dipole?  The IOD […]

1.3 million lightning strikes and a record September downpour: the storms testing WA’s Goldfields

Leonora, WA, had its wettest September day on record earlier this month. Three weeks later, more than 1.3 million lightning pulses were detected within 800 km of the town in 48 hours. Why is a stalled trough delivering storms to mining country, and what it could mean for operations?  The DTN Total Lightning Network detected […]