Prosper in a dynamic world
Search

Coldest start to winter in decades drive up energy demand

 

All of Australia’s southeastern and eastern capital cities just had their coldest start to winter in decades amid a two-week procession of cold fronts. 

A series of slow-moving long-wave troughs caused a persistent stream of cold air over southeastern Australia during the first two weeks of June. This weather pattern caused a prolonged run of below-average temperatures and cold blustery winds across several states and territories. 

Every Australian capital city except for Perth and Darwin had its coldest first fortnight of winter in more than a decade, in some cased more than 70 years:  

  • Canberra stayed below 13ºC during the first 14 days of winter, its coldest start to the season since 1964. 
  • Sydney Airport (below 19.2ºC) and Bankstown (19.4ºC) both had their coldest first fortnight of winter since 2006. 
  • Melbourne failed to reach 15ºC during the first fortnight of June, the city’s coldest start to winter since 1949
  • Brisbane remained below 23ºC over the first two weeks of winter for the first time since 2000. The city only reached as high as 22.8ºC, making it the coldest first fortnight of winter since 1990.
  • Adelaide stayed below 17.5ºC in the first 14 days of June, the city’s coldest first two weeks of winter since 2007 
  • Hobart only got as high as high as 13.7ºC in the first two weeks of June, its coldest start to winter since 1982  

The unusually cold start to winter caused a spike in energy demand across Australia’s National Electricity Market (NEM) as building occupants tried to escape the chill.  

Data from OpenNEM.org shows that energy demand during the week ending on June 12 was higher than any other week in the past 12 months.  

MicrosoftTeams-image (461)

Image: Weekly energy demand across the NEM during the last 12 months, showing a noticeable increase in energy demand during the cold weather of this last fortnight. Source: OpenNEM.org 

Interestingly, while the past fortnight’s windy weather caused uncomfortable levels of wind chill, it also boosted wind power production. During the fortnight ending on June 12, wind produced around 17 to 18 percent of the NEM’s total energy demand. These were also the highest and third highest weekly values in the past 12 months, with wind power typically contributing around 9 to 13 percent of the overall energy generation. 

The unusually cold weather during the first fortnight of winter has driven up energy demand across the NEM. This increased demand has exacerbated issues being faced by the energy sector amid the surging price of gas and a complex mix of international and domestic events. 

 Weatherzone’s Energy services are designed to put the power back in your hands. Our principle value proposition to the energy industry is the timely delivery of highly accurate weather information, to allow intelligent and effective decision making, reducing weather risk and maximizing profit. Weatherzone leads the energy industry with a wide range of products and systems that allow better visibility on forecast generation (such as wind and solar) as well as demand.

No matter how volatile the market is, Weatherzone’s energy services are designed to give you the tools to understand risk and make quick and correct decisions. For more information, please contact us at apac.sales@dtn.com.

Latest news

Satisfy your weather obsession with these news headlines from around the nation, and the world.

Signs of a positive Indian Ocean Dipole, but it may not follow the textbook

Waters off Indonesia have cooled in recent weeks, an indication that a positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) event could be developing. It’s an important climate driver for Australia, and it could shape rainfall and temperatures heading into summer, with flow-on effects for farmers, energy and other industries.  What is the Indian Ocean Dipole?  The IOD […]

1.3 million lightning strikes and a record September downpour: the storms testing WA’s Goldfields

Leonora, WA, had its wettest September day on record earlier this month. Three weeks later, more than 1.3 million lightning pulses were detected within 800 km of the town in 48 hours. Why is a stalled trough delivering storms to mining country, and what it could mean for operations?  The DTN Total Lightning Network detected […]

A very low wind power week, likely to continue

A stubborn blocking high over southern Australia will make for a very quiet week for wind generation and the pattern behind it isn’t a one-off.   It’s the seasonal signature of a super (very strong) El Niño combined with a positive Southern Annular Mode (SAM), and both the historical record and the current seasonal forecast suggest it’s likely to keep recurring through spring before a potential switch from November.  The setup right […]

Fastest strengthening El Niño on record: Impacts on Australian monsoon timing and wet season planning

Australia’s Mining and Resources sectors are bracing for a wet season shaped by one of the most rapidly developing El Niño events on record.    Looking back at how the strongest El Niño events in Australian history have played out, it becomes apparent that mining operations in Australia should be planning for a later monsoon […]